| IVOD_ID |
170411 |
| IVOD_URL |
https://ivod.ly.gov.tw/Play/Clip/1M/170411 |
| 日期 |
2026-07-09 |
| 會議資料.會議代碼 |
委員會-11-5-20-21 |
| 會議資料.會議代碼:str |
第11屆第5會期財政委員會第21次全體委員會議 |
| 會議資料.屆 |
11 |
| 會議資料.會期 |
5 |
| 會議資料.會次 |
21 |
| 會議資料.種類 |
委員會 |
| 會議資料.委員會代碼[0] |
20 |
| 會議資料.委員會代碼:str[0] |
財政委員會 |
| 會議資料.標題 |
第11屆第5會期財政委員會第21次全體委員會議 |
| 影片種類 |
Clip |
| 開始時間 |
2026-07-09T11:45:50+08:00 |
| 結束時間 |
2026-07-09T11:53:05+08:00 |
| 影片長度 |
00:07:15 |
| 支援功能[0] |
ai-transcript |
| video_url |
https://ivod-lyvod.cdn.hinet.net/vod_1/_definst_/mp4:1MClips/819c86070d9120f7572f4117bcb43231c6cfcebe9e655170daab8b1e00aaf1176eb0d0d8684cdce65ea18f28b6918d91.mp4/playlist.m3u8 |
| 委員名稱 |
邱志偉 |
| 委員發言時間 |
11:45:50 - 11:53:05 |
| 會議時間 |
2026-07-09T09:00:00+08:00 |
| 會議名稱 |
立法院第11屆第5會期財政委員會第21次全體委員會議（事由：邀請中央銀行楊總裁金龍就「股市、通膨、匯率與房市多重風險中，中央銀行中長期因應策略與政策工具」進行專題報告，並備質詢。
【7月8日及9日兩天一次會】） |
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| transcript.whisperx[0].start |
9.284 |
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10.604 |
| transcript.whisperx[0].text |
我想應該一直以來都是這樣子 壓力的話大概就是都是這樣子 |
| transcript.whisperx[1].start |
33.033 |
| transcript.whisperx[1].end |
39.816 |
| transcript.whisperx[1].text |
因為壓力一定是有的啦因為壓力一定是有的啦隨時都有新的變化嘛對 委員講的沒有錯啦就是說現在的uncertainty是越來越頻繁不確定性越來越多不確定性越來越多風險值越來越高 |
| transcript.whisperx[2].start |
52.743 |
| transcript.whisperx[2].end |
66.918 |
| transcript.whisperx[2].text |
從您的報告來跟您請教幾個問題就是說你們在判斷通膨啊我們從CPI來看CPI 6月份CPI年增率是2.6%是17個月新高核心CPI年增率也到2.45% |
| transcript.whisperx[3].start |
69.341 |
| transcript.whisperx[3].end |
85.253 |
| transcript.whisperx[3].text |
那你現在就是您的這個說法是說你們會密切觀察到底這個你們判斷烘蓬有沒有一個到底可控可控相對於可控就是失控或者不可控可控或失控的你們有沒有一個明確的門檻 |
| transcript.whisperx[4].start |
87.421 |
| transcript.whisperx[4].end |
113.88 |
| transcript.whisperx[4].text |
對於通膨這個問題 你要去判斷這通膨已經快到失控 你要讓他採取一些作為嗎所以呢 委員那個垂詢得很好就是說2.6 你的意思是說2.6是不是失控不是 我說你可控的量化門檻在哪裡那當然就是說 我們年的平均是2% |
| transcript.whisperx[5].start |
115.327 |
| transcript.whisperx[5].end |
131.564 |
| transcript.whisperx[5].text |
年的平均是2%所以你現在年的是1.93對 1.93那如果到2就代表說可能會平均失控那也不是說2就失控了美國現在多少美國現在是3.84 |
| transcript.whisperx[6].start |
133.226 |
| transcript.whisperx[6].end |
160.965 |
| transcript.whisperx[6].text |
美國的特殊狀況不一樣啊怎麼會特殊狀況 每一個國家中央銀行看的都是差不多的那個 都是同樣的數據啊如果我們到美國那個水準你覺得是應該失控了吧對啊 就我們來講的話大概失控但是美國它是3.84咧您的見解 您的判斷是說以年2%是做一個 不過我跟委員報告啦 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].start |
161.545 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].end |
164.607 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].text |
美國在講說他現在3.84那為什麼他沒有調升利率而且呢他沒有調降利率因為他的3.84呢他只是短期間他認為是這樣因為他認為他的預測呢他說我2027年2028年我可以達到2% |
| transcript.whisperx[8].start |
184.798 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].end |
196.722 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].text |
那表示什麼呢表示說他的2%是中長期的目標而不是現在我的3.84%我就要馬上調升了解是不是因為他認為他認為說我兩年以後我會到達2%所以呢我現在國家狀況不太一樣我們找時間再跟您討論另外就是說 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].start |
207.731 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].end |
231.697 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].text |
您的對房市的管制第七波已經是最後嘛不會再有第八波我們滾動式檢討幾次七波的醫治房價措施您覺得效果怎麼樣我覺得第一個就是說他的一個信用在集中到他那邊去比較慢慢的堪當下來了 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].start |
232.919 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].end |
240.788 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].text |
所以會有進一步再放鬆嗎未來當然啊未來如果說某一個時點未來有可能再放寬嗎應該是會啊我們不可能我想一個管制不會就是說永遠管制下去了 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].start |
251.579 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].end |
264.137 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].text |
那只是說timing就是你的時間你放寬的時間是在什麼時候放寬時間點很重要對最重要的是在控制另外你之前在10年前 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].start |
264.861 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].end |
285.883 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].text |
中央銀行對於這個金融機構辦理購置高價住宅貸款的業務狀況所以這個叫做所謂我們認知的這個豪宅的門檻我跟委員報告但是你們是高價住宅但是2016其實在台北市你用這7000萬去買的房子絕對不是豪宅啦 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].start |
287.187 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].end |
303.687 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].text |
那當然那是高價住宅那是豪宅所以這個是2016年訂定的這個規定經過10年這些所謂高價住宅的門檻你們會不會有會思考在未來會思考會做一些的調整 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].start |
304.622 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].end |
307.863 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].text |
我現在跟委員報告啦我們沒有對豪宅的定義我們只是說高價住宅那高價住宅呢也就是說信用管制呢他是說對於這種比較高價的呢我要做比較強比較強的一個管制這完全同意一樣的道理啊那個財政部為了他的稅再30秒 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].start |
333.527 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].end |
339.852 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].text |
所以各種法律規定各種業務規定應該與時俱進去做一些宏觀的調控那方向怎麼樣你再去思考怎麼樣管制最合理最合情最合法2016年前他的股市是多少 |
| transcript.whisperx[16].start |
361.847 |
| transcript.whisperx[16].end |
376.777 |
| transcript.whisperx[16].text |
它的人均GDP是多少跟現在它的股市是多少人均GDP是多少那看看是不是有調整央行在做這個選擇性金融管制的時候我們的衡量標準是它的強度 |
| transcript.whisperx[17].start |
377.83 |
| transcript.whisperx[17].end |
383.355 |
| transcript.whisperx[17].text |
他的強度而不在於就是說他的所得已經高到哪裡如果說我的信用資源太過流向那邊去的時候我的對於高價住宅的強度也許 |
| transcript.whisperx[18].start |
397.248 |
| transcript.whisperx[18].end |
415.537 |
| transcript.whisperx[18].text |
不是上升的管理數字好不好對你之前的一些相關說我們都以認同那也不讓房市慢慢的往下跌往下到一個合理的區間那我覺得這個管制是必要的那也是合理的那就是讓 |
| transcript.whisperx[19].start |
416.557 |
| transcript.whisperx[19].end |
419.8 |
| transcript.whisperx[19].text |
防止回歸一個正常的狀況那我覺得這個要給您肯定不過這個做一個洋商總裁總是壓力非常大外匯也好因為還有很多事還有很多問題要給你請教下次有機會的話還有外匯好 謝謝我們結束邱志偉委員的質詢謝謝 |