| IVOD_ID |
167495 |
| IVOD_URL |
https://ivod.ly.gov.tw/Play/Clip/1M/167495 |
| 日期 |
2026-03-16 |
| 會議資料.會議代碼 |
委員會-11-5-20-2 |
| 會議資料.會議代碼:str |
第11屆第5會期財政委員會第2次全體委員會議 |
| 會議資料.屆 |
11 |
| 會議資料.會期 |
5 |
| 會議資料.會次 |
2 |
| 會議資料.種類 |
委員會 |
| 會議資料.委員會代碼[0] |
20 |
| 會議資料.委員會代碼:str[0] |
財政委員會 |
| 會議資料.標題 |
第11屆第5會期財政委員會第2次全體委員會議 |
| 影片種類 |
Clip |
| 開始時間 |
2026-03-16T10:41:04+08:00 |
| 結束時間 |
2026-03-16T10:50:28+08:00 |
| 影片長度 |
00:09:24 |
| 支援功能[0] |
ai-transcript |
| video_url |
https://ivod-lyvod.cdn.hinet.net/vod_1/_definst_/mp4:1MClips/e545302d1642c5f64d7d9d5219edcaf79845512775efda379ba3647d0b3df3c8642409915d7b18685ea18f28b6918d91.mp4/playlist.m3u8 |
| 委員名稱 |
顏寬恒 |
| 委員發言時間 |
10:41:04 - 10:50:28 |
| 會議時間 |
2026-03-16T09:00:00+08:00 |
| 會議名稱 |
立法院第11屆第5會期財政委員會第2次全體委員會議（事由：邀請行政院主計總處陳主計長淑姿、審計部陳審計長瑞敏率所屬單位主管列席業務報告，並備質詢。） |
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| transcript.whisperx[0].text |
主席有請主計處陳主計長陳主計長 |
| transcript.whisperx[1].start |
16.397 |
| transcript.whisperx[1].end |
31.046 |
| transcript.whisperx[1].text |
委員好主委長早美國聯邦最高法院上個月才訂川普的對等關稅政策違法那美國貿易代表格雷爾又在11日宣布 |
| transcript.whisperx[2].start |
31.866 |
| transcript.whisperx[2].end |
36.893 |
| transcript.whisperx[2].text |
美國貿易代表署將依據《1974年貿易法》第301條針對包括台灣在內的16個經濟體啟動貿易調查就半導體、鋼鐵等產能過剩的這些產業啟動調查最快今年夏天就會加徵關稅 |
| transcript.whisperx[3].start |
49.87 |
| transcript.whisperx[3].end |
66.522 |
| transcript.whisperx[3].text |
那目前大家最關心的中東戰火問題美國跟以色列聯手空襲伊朗那伊朗也展開報復行動戰事更是擴及到中東地區的其他國家那也導致國際油價一度飆漲更是創四年新高 |
| transcript.whisperx[4].start |
67.463 |
| transcript.whisperx[4].end |
77.839 |
| transcript.whisperx[4].text |
同時也帶動食品跟糧食價格飆漲引發市場擔憂除了擔心中東戰勢升溫也恐怕會出現通膨通膨升高經濟成長節緩及停滯性通膨的問題 |
| transcript.whisperx[5].start |
82.887 |
| transcript.whisperx[5].end |
97.505 |
| transcript.whisperx[5].text |
美國最新公布的數據就出現潛在的停滯性通膨這個警訊那許多雇主在2月無預警的裁員失業率已經有這個升高的趨勢那請問主席總書有沒有 |
| transcript.whisperx[6].start |
99.267 |
| transcript.whisperx[6].end |
112.239 |
| transcript.whisperx[6].text |
先評估未來可能因為301條關稅加深又加上中東再次對我國經濟會造成什麼樣的衝擊我國會不會也因為因此而面臨停滯性通膨的問題主委長 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].start |
114.239 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].end |
121.362 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].text |
我再跟委員報告就是第一個戰爭的部分我們這樣當初在初估115年經濟成長7.71的時候那時候這個部分是還沒有納入但是問題這個部分我們也把它納入 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].start |
129.406 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].end |
146.597 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].text |
那至於232關稅的一個因為我們有跟美國訂定MOU包括ART的一個所以它對我們的影響相關並不大因為我們大概有七成大部分都是屬於優惠的一個稅率那現在就是說我們有關時有的一個上漲對我們經濟成長的一個影響 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].start |
150.8 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].end |
173.276 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].text |
因為我們三四月都已經這個部分需求都已經調整好那五月的部分也正在努力那台電中油呢這個部分呢如果因為政策抑制上漲這個部分它所導致的一個損失呢它有提出相關要增資的一個需求那我們也會來協助解決那所以這個本身呢我們整個一個GDP的整個一個 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].start |
176.778 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].end |
186.208 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].text |
一個預估大部分是預計在五月份做一個修正那修正的部分在看整個中東局勢還有包括整個美國關稅的一個影響的情形還有各項CPI整個影響來做一個調整 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].start |
193.054 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].end |
214.816 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].text |
再來這裡就是說本身CPI的部分我們是每個月都會公布CPI的一個影響那目前我們是油電都雙億億漲包括天然氣的部分也是億漲那這一個部分是由台電和中油來運作然後行政院也有一個一個物價 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].start |
216.297 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].end |
230.752 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].text |
物價抑制小組這個本身他也有在做一個運作所以針對民生的一個整項我們都在一個預估調整當中好主委長謝謝那你剛剛有提到沒關係等一下我再請教那根據新聞報導 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].start |
234.235 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].end |
255.804 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].text |
海峽實質上遭到封鎖 引發全球能源危機昨天週日晚間 國際油價已經噴漲至每桶106美元漲幅高達45%就算美國及其他盟友 釋放史上最大規模的戰略儲備原油 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].start |
257.244 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].end |
284.001 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].text |
遠遠不足以解決由戰爭所引發的原油供應中斷的問題所以不只是油價那我們台灣進口的液化天然氣有四分之一來自卡達但台灣天然氣儲存量只有11天這大家都知道那如果情勢惡化供應出現干擾那能源價格跟供應風險都同時升高那這種情況之下無論是油價還是天然氣進口物價上漲的壓力都會一直增加 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].start |
284.821 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].end |
309.316 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].text |
那我想請教主席講目前對於戰事可能導致這個能源價格上漲的風險就像你剛剛提到說中野會虧多少那這個台隊會虧多少那除了這樣子的評估之外還有你剛剛提到說在那個GDP當時並沒有納入中東戰事的一個情況所以你這個也要重估嘛這是不是一定要重估那這個 |
| transcript.whisperx[16].start |
310.997 |
| transcript.whisperx[16].end |
327.288 |
| transcript.whisperx[16].text |
現在國際營業每桶都超過100元現在100元以下是不太可能那短期也不會有看到它下降所以對於今年物價跟經濟成長的這樣子的一個跟當初你們初估的時候要做一個全新重新的整理要不要 |
| transcript.whisperx[17].start |
327.788 |
| transcript.whisperx[17].end |
338.239 |
| transcript.whisperx[17].text |
要 所以我們在5月我們會重新初估那坦白說100美元就是說如果石油漲到100美元大概上漲70%那對經濟成長率的影響是3月9號的時候跳到119 |
| transcript.whisperx[18].start |
345.246 |
| transcript.whisperx[18].end |
363.537 |
| transcript.whisperx[18].text |
是 所以差不多將近80%左右 那就會將近影響將近9%左右那那個對CPI的影響也將近1.7%多那所以這個部分兩個的一個影響如果說是到時候控制不住的部分那或者是說台電終有沒有辦法 |
| transcript.whisperx[19].start |
365.658 |
| transcript.whisperx[19].end |
393.689 |
| transcript.whisperx[19].text |
針對這一個來做協助那我們是盡量希望台電中油把這吸收下來不要去影響到人民的一個物價那整個部分台電中油再由我們來協助解決對啦因為從能源價格啊這些電價上漲的壓力還有物價上漲還有市場的變化對這些東西我想中東戰士會情況會怎麼樣沒有人可以預估沒有人預估是那我想這個部分 |
| transcript.whisperx[20].start |
394.469 |
| transcript.whisperx[20].end |
411.409 |
| transcript.whisperx[20].text |
那會隨時修正所帶來的影響非常的大包括我們天然氣的部分我們都是依靠進口嘛是那如果斷氣了呢怎麼辦那經濟部長他說如果暫時拖到4月他不排除要全面開啟煤炭就是我們的燃煤發電嘛 |
| transcript.whisperx[21].start |
412.43 |
| transcript.whisperx[21].end |
438.575 |
| transcript.whisperx[21].text |
因為重啟他沒發現,這是他的最後手段嘛對不對,所以在進行物價跟通膨的預測的時候一定要把這些最重要這些依數全部納入因為現在已經跟當初預估的情況是完全不同那我想還有就是說如果電價真的漲上來那民眾這個消費者還有我想是沒有辦法預期也沒辦法接受啦 |
| transcript.whisperx[22].start |
440.636 |
| transcript.whisperx[22].end |
460.267 |
| transcript.whisperx[22].text |
因為時間有限,主要就是說這個戰爭已經實質影響人民的生活再加上所有能源價格的變化,包括我們的統裝瓦斯因為中油在三月份的時候有宣告不漲價,因為中油有政府的補助 |
| transcript.whisperx[23].start |
461.508 |
| transcript.whisperx[23].end |
479.45 |
| transcript.whisperx[23].text |
但是台塑化的部分他已經搶先宣布調漲瓦斯的價格每公斤0.6元其實現在已經這些我們看到的這些夜市攤販還有這些店鋪吃不消就算中友宣布不漲 |
| transcript.whisperx[24].start |
480.351 |
| transcript.whisperx[24].end |
509.321 |
| transcript.whisperx[24].text |
這也是臨時的這個短暫的嘛你不可能全年嘛或者說連續嘛如果能這麼做也好但是問題是說做不到那這些供給不足這樣子的一個情況然後這一波的漲勢沒有看到它的一個什麼時候會好轉的方向所以我想要請教主計長政府所謂的價格監控機制實質上能夠發揮到什麼樣的效果當我們民生的能源成本 |
| transcript.whisperx[25].start |
510.682 |
| transcript.whisperx[25].end |
531.496 |
| transcript.whisperx[25].text |
因為國際形勢上漲的時候除了監控之外除了補貼之外我們有什麼措施可以避免物價上漲持續被推高簡單回答就好了我們是經濟部他本身就像剛剛講的他會把他一個沒有燃煤的一個部分他會重新開放那第二個他也會補助中油和台電 |
| transcript.whisperx[26].start |
532.256 |
| transcript.whisperx[26].end |
541.884 |
| transcript.whisperx[26].text |
那這些是去減少說漲幅然後整個那個第三個呢他本身在供貨的部分他也會盡量去協調說讓他能夠順利所以這方面是涉及到各方面各面所以這個部分我們會緊急來盯緊各項的一個變化來做整個一個調整 |
| transcript.whisperx[27].start |
553.451 |
| transcript.whisperx[27].end |
557.357 |
| transcript.whisperx[27].text |
就是要提前做好各項經濟風險的評估跟準備那能夠盡量維持國內的經濟穩定的發展好不好好 謝謝委員 |