| IVOD_ID |
164780 |
| IVOD_URL |
https://ivod.ly.gov.tw/Play/Clip/1M/164780 |
| 日期 |
2025-10-29 |
| 會議資料.會議代碼 |
委員會-11-4-35-9 |
| 會議資料.會議代碼:str |
第11屆第4會期外交及國防委員會第9次全體委員會議 |
| 會議資料.屆 |
11 |
| 會議資料.會期 |
4 |
| 會議資料.會次 |
9 |
| 會議資料.種類 |
委員會 |
| 會議資料.委員會代碼[0] |
35 |
| 會議資料.委員會代碼:str[0] |
外交及國防委員會 |
| 會議資料.標題 |
第11屆第4會期外交及國防委員會第9次全體委員會議 |
| 影片種類 |
Clip |
| 開始時間 |
2025-10-29T10:50:09+08:00 |
| 結束時間 |
2025-10-29T10:55:34+08:00 |
| 影片長度 |
00:05:25 |
| 支援功能[0] |
ai-transcript |
| video_url |
https://ivod-lyvod.cdn.hinet.net/vod_1/_definst_/mp4:1MClips/3d43f2f62388da51375500549ecb9004599e9b62584ab3efa3c61875d63c7135d542c67c48412d045ea18f28b6918d91.mp4/playlist.m3u8 |
| 委員名稱 |
邱志偉 |
| 委員發言時間 |
10:50:09 - 10:55:34 |
| 會議時間 |
2025-10-29T09:00:00+08:00 |
| 會議名稱 |
立法院第11屆第4會期外交及國防委員會第9次全體委員會議（事由：邀請國家安全局報告「近期東亞情勢變化對我國影響之研析」，並備質詢。） |
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主席有請局長蔡局長請謝主席 邱橫好對 局長你好 局長第一個問題請教你就是說這個中共四中全會剛落幕聽過第15次的五年經濟發展計畫 |
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那這個有一些現象會讓人家覺得有點跟過去不一樣包括這個中央委員會出席的人數對這個特別是軍系軍方這個中央委員應該有三十幾席要出席就是出席二十幾席 |
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那去包括一些已經沒有在名單裡面的找不到原因的未出席的大概還有二三十位還印出大概200多位吧如果沒記錯的話205位那出席的是168位缺席的是37位所以有很多軍系的包括這些將領沒有出席 |
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這透露什麼訊息習近平的大權還是牢牢在握呢還是岌岌可聞你們的判斷這一次有注意到中央委員的出席狀況就像跟委員報告的數字確實是比較低那大概有18%的中央委員是沒有出席的 |
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那代表有大規模的整肅跟調查的工作還在進行整肅是反貪嗎有 反貪跟忠誠的問題可能都有所以我們的解讀是認為他反映的是中國的貪腐還有忠誠問題可能蠻嚴重的他是在加大力道對 那也跟委員報告他這一次中委員有遞補11位候補委員那是還沒有及時遞補啊有 這一次有遞補11位但是11位完全跳過了該遞補的軍方代表的名單那代表他對於軍方代表 |
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所以現階段在整肅軍方貪腐的問題對對對 他在完成調查之前而且直接降臨的位階非常之高啊是啊 是啊當過這個軍委副書記對 或是軍區司令員軍區司令員 |
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| transcript.whisperx[6].text |
所以這種情況 您覺得他習近平的大權還是牢牢在握對 我們剛剛跟陳俊宇委員在報告也是就是他現在幾乎是獨攬軍權啦然後對於一些將領的背景沒有那麼的信任所以除了剛剛說中央委員 遞補名單沒有軍方代表以外中央軍委會也沒有遞補那過去委員可能也知道都有欺襲所以現在還是軍權在握嘛對對 所以現在只有世襲 對 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].start |
145.734 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].end |
160.984 |
| transcript.whisperx[7].text |
所以這種情況透露出他的依然在權在握未來五年他的這個位置應該沒有問題因為在市中全會我們也是在注意委員剛剛提醒的這件事他的一些公報的用語我們具體到接班或是續任的問題都沒有 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].start |
162.765 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].end |
173.799 |
| transcript.whisperx[8].text |
這代表他大權在握科技怎麼自主在美中的科技角力戰裡面能夠維持他的獨立性跟自主性另外他國內消費不足的問題大概是提到這些部分沒錯他們是國內問題 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].start |
177.679 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].end |
193.264 |
| transcript.whisperx[9].text |
再把這個情況放到東亞東北亞經濟合作這個是一個命運共同體地緣政治 地緣經濟包括台灣 韓國跟日本這是一個區域的經濟安全合作的重要性 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].start |
194.264 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].end |
220.877 |
| transcript.whisperx[10].text |
日本沒有問題台日關係最近是二三十年非常密切所以從安倍到高市首相我們提出他們都立場很清楚就是台灣有事 日本有事台灣沒事 日本沒事但我很期待我們另外一個台韓關係我們應該有更多的喉嚨我希望說在未來五年 十年我希望能夠從韓國這種聽到說這台灣有事 韓國有事 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].start |
223.986 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].end |
236.581 |
| transcript.whisperx[11].text |
當然如果是美國說台灣有事美國有事我想這個大概如果會講早就講了但是雙邊關係的互動是要慢慢累積現在韓國反中的情緒非常強烈 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].start |
237.944 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].end |
261.802 |
| transcript.whisperx[12].text |
對台灣是相當的友善他們一百二十四萬人來台灣觀光台灣有一百萬人去台灣觀光所以文化民間交流非常熱絡我們應該把握這個時間點強化跟韓國的關係局長您看法呢因為韓國以前都關注北韓的威脅對區域安全議題比較不表述他的立場但是這幾年也正如委員所看到的他慢慢的在調整 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].start |
262.202 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].end |
279.151 |
| transcript.whisperx[13].text |
包括在美日的一些峰會或是部長級的會談都會 韓國會開始提到台海和平穩定的問題所以代表他政策是有開始在做一些調整最後十秒鐘就是說上次您提醒我我不能去香港香港 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].start |
280.311 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].end |
302.76 |
| transcript.whisperx[14].text |
甚至轉機也不行這個我都不能到香港但入境不可能 他不可能讓我入境轉機也有危險能不能有一些正面表列的國家你看他的第三國受到中國他們的國內的政治經濟受到中國強烈的控制強大的控制力的這些國家有沒有可能正面表列 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].start |
304.989 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].end |
325.298 |
| transcript.whisperx[15].text |
對 但這個部分可能旅遊的風險的部分主要是外交部的夜館那但是這部分的風險主要是針對一些疫病或天災的那個指標來做調整那委員提到的是政治風險那這部分我們看是不是在內部會議再提醒外交部也來注意一下委員剛剛的關切謝謝邱志偉委員如果負面 |